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Science · Guess the stat

How well do you know the data behind polls?

Guess the real numbers behind how polls are measured, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

Guess the statOne tap · see how everyone guessed

Pew Research Center's American Trends Panel, created in 2014, recruits about how many U.S. adults at random?

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  • 4 stats to guess
  • 1 opinion poll
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Poll by the numbers

Real figures with their sources. All Poll facts →

±4 percentage points

A standard Gallup poll of 1,000 U.S. adults typically has about what margin of error?

Gallup's routine national polls interview about 1,000 adults; a much larger sample would be needed to shrink the margin of error further.

Source: Gallup (2024) news.gallup.com

about 6%

By 2018, what share of people contacted actually completed a typical U.S. telephone survey?

Response rates fell from about 7% in 2017 to 6% in 2018, continuing a long decline in telephone survey participation.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

59,599 respondents

By 2014, how many total respondents had the long-running General Social Survey collected since starting in 1972?

That total was gathered across 30 national samples, tracking more than 5,900 variables about American opinions and behavior.

Source: Wikipedia (General Social Survey) (2014) en.wikipedia.org

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Questions

How does PollPoints.com work?

Each question asks you to guess a real number about the data points and methodology behind how polls are measured. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

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